Judi Joyce Burr Wins CAA 2015 Dow Prediction Contest

Prediction Varies from Actual Close by .03 Percent

CAA Tampa member Judi Joyce Burr has won CAA’s first “Predict the Year-End Dow” contest, off the actual close by only six points. She was aided by a 178-point drop on December 31, 2015.

The Dow stock index ended the year at 17,425, down 2.2 percent for the year and the first annual loss since 2008. It could have been much worse, because the low for the year was 15,370.

Burr predicted the Dow to end at 17,431, only .03 percent different than the actual close. Her extremely accurate prediction earned her a $200 amazon gift certificate.

The second and third closest predictors were Deb Talbot and Jim Peyman. Member predictions ranged from 15,000 to 18,399, with a median of 17,228.42.

Burr joined Chase in 1968 and retired in 2005. At her retirement, she was a Vice President and Human Resources Executive in Chase Card Services–Tampa. During her 37 years at Chase, she worked in Corporate Human Resources, International Head Office and the Asia/Pacific Area.

“To help me with my guess, I analyzed the market over four years to determine if a pattern existed for year-end and applied that to 2015,” she said. “Wish I could do that with my investment account!”